Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the race to succeed retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi in California’s 11th Congressional District, driven by his California Democratic Party endorsement, broad support from LGBTQ+ groups, and consistent polling advantage across demographics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. As a sitting state senator with years of preparation for the seat, Wiener benefits from established name recognition and institutional backing that have kept challengers at a distance. Saikat Chakrabarti, a self-funding progressive with ties to national left-wing networks, and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, backed by labor unions and the Working Families Party, remain in a tight contest for distant second place according to recent surveys. These dynamics reflect trader focus on Wiener’s structural advantages in endorsements and voter preference data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtScott Wiener 88%
Saikat Chakrabarti 7.8%
Connie Chan 2.4%
Cole Bettles <1%
$357,865 KL.
$357,865 KL.
Scott Wiener
88%
Saikat Chakrabarti
8%
Connie Chan
2%
Cole Bettles
<1%
Darren Helton
<1%
Jingchao Xiong
<1%
David Ganezer
<1%
Scott Wiener 88%
Saikat Chakrabarti 7.8%
Connie Chan 2.4%
Cole Bettles <1%
$357,865 KL.
$357,865 KL.
Scott Wiener
88%
Saikat Chakrabarti
8%
Connie Chan
2%
Cole Bettles
<1%
Darren Helton
<1%
Jingchao Xiong
<1%
David Ganezer
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 24, 2025, 3:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scott Wiener holds a commanding lead in the race to succeed retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi in California’s 11th Congressional District, driven by his California Democratic Party endorsement, broad support from LGBTQ+ groups, and consistent polling advantage across demographics ahead of the June 2 top-two primary. As a sitting state senator with years of preparation for the seat, Wiener benefits from established name recognition and institutional backing that have kept challengers at a distance. Saikat Chakrabarti, a self-funding progressive with ties to national left-wing networks, and San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan, backed by labor unions and the Working Families Party, remain in a tight contest for distant second place according to recent surveys. These dynamics reflect trader focus on Wiener’s structural advantages in endorsements and voter preference data.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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