Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% to retain Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, reflecting Rep. Tony Wied's incumbency advantage in a Solid Republican seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Forecasters like Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate it Solid or Safe R, bolstered by Wied's 57% victories in both the 2024 special and regular elections despite an open seat after Mike Gallagher's resignation. Democrats face a fragmented August 11 primary among challengers like Mark Scheffler and Rick Crosson, hampered by low fundraising—Wied holds $427,000 cash on hand versus their combined under $35,000 as of late March. The June 1 filing deadline looms, but no polls indicate a competitive shift amid stable district dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWI-08 House Election Winner
WI-08 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
21%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,873 KL.
79%
Democratic Party
$3,384 KL.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% to retain Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, reflecting Rep. Tony Wied's incumbency advantage in a Solid Republican seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Forecasters like Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate it Solid or Safe R, bolstered by Wied's 57% victories in both the 2024 special and regular elections despite an open seat after Mike Gallagher's resignation. Democrats face a fragmented August 11 primary among challengers like Mark Scheffler and Rick Crosson, hampered by low fundraising—Wied holds $427,000 cash on hand versus their combined under $35,000 as of late March. The June 1 filing deadline looms, but no polls indicate a competitive shift amid stable district dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,258Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% to retain Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, reflecting Rep. Tony Wied's incumbency advantage in a Solid Republican seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Forecasters like Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate it Solid or Safe R, bolstered by Wied's 57% victories in both the 2024 special and regular elections despite an open seat after Mike Gallagher's resignation. Democrats face a fragmented August 11 primary among challengers like Mark Scheffler and Rick Crosson, hampered by low fundraising—Wied holds $427,000 cash on hand versus their combined under $35,000 as of late March. The June 1 filing deadline looms, but no polls indicate a competitive shift amid stable district dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,258Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the Republican Party at 78.5% to retain Wisconsin's 8th Congressional District, reflecting Rep. Tony Wied's incumbency advantage in a Solid Republican seat with an R+8 Partisan Voter Index. Forecasters like Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections rate it Solid or Safe R, bolstered by Wied's 57% victories in both the 2024 special and regular elections despite an open seat after Mike Gallagher's resignation. Democrats face a fragmented August 11 primary among challengers like Mark Scheffler and Rick Crosson, hampered by low fundraising—Wied holds $427,000 cash on hand versus their combined under $35,000 as of late March. The June 1 filing deadline looms, but no polls indicate a competitive shift amid stable district dynamics.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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