Strong trader consensus favoring "No" at 95.2% implied probability reflects the absence of legal personhood for AI systems, which current U.S. and international frameworks treat as tools rather than entities capable of forming criminal intent or facing indictment. Recent developments, including state legislation clarifying AI-generated content ownership and federal probes into companies like OpenAI for user interactions, reinforce that liability remains with developers, deployers, or users rather than the models themselves. Regulatory efforts focus on oversight of large language models, risk management, and corporate accountability instead of direct prosecution. While rapid advances in agentic AI or an unprecedented legislative shift granting personhood could theoretically intervene before the December 2026 resolution, structural barriers and typical policy timelines render such outcomes highly improbable.