Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.7% for Elon Musk registering any political party before 2027, reflecting the absence of formal action nearly 11 months after his July 2025 announcement of the "America Party" amid a public feud with President Trump. Musk immediately refuted claims of FEC registration, and reports by August 2025 indicated he shelved plans to focus on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI priorities. Recent joint appearances with Trump suggest reconciliation, diminishing third-party incentives. U.S. ballot access hurdles—state-by-state signature requirements and recognition processes—pose significant barriers, with no updates or organizing efforts since, underscoring low probability despite ample time remaining.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.7% for Elon Musk registering any political party before 2027, reflecting the absence of formal action nearly 11 months after his July 2025 announcement of the "America Party" amid a public feud with President Trump. Musk immediately refuted claims of FEC registration, and reports by August 2025 indicated he shelved plans to focus on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI priorities. Recent joint appearances with Trump suggest reconciliation, diminishing third-party incentives. U.S. ballot access hurdles—state-by-state signature requirements and recognition processes—pose significant barriers, with no updates or organizing efforts since, underscoring low probability despite ample time remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 4:59 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,058Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.7% for Elon Musk registering any political party before 2027, reflecting the absence of formal action nearly 11 months after his July 2025 announcement of the "America Party" amid a public feud with President Trump. Musk immediately refuted claims of FEC registration, and reports by August 2025 indicated he shelved plans to focus on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI priorities. Recent joint appearances with Trump suggest reconciliation, diminishing third-party incentives. U.S. ballot access hurdles—state-by-state signature requirements and recognition processes—pose significant barriers, with no updates or organizing efforts since, underscoring low probability despite ample time remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
Khối lượng
$6,058Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 91.7% for Elon Musk registering any political party before 2027, reflecting the absence of formal action nearly 11 months after his July 2025 announcement of the "America Party" amid a public feud with President Trump. Musk immediately refuted claims of FEC registration, and reports by August 2025 indicated he shelved plans to focus on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI priorities. Recent joint appearances with Trump suggest reconciliation, diminishing third-party incentives. U.S. ballot access hurdles—state-by-state signature requirements and recognition processes—pose significant barriers, with no updates or organizing efforts since, underscoring low probability despite ample time remaining.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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