Tight cattle supplies remain the dominant driver behind elevated ground beef prices, with the U.S. herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 and the beef cow inventory down 1% year-over-year to 27.6 million. Persistent drought and elevated feed costs have sustained herd liquidation, limiting domestic lean-trimmings output and supporting USDA forecasts for a 10.1% rise in overall beef prices this year. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail prices holding near $9.50–$9.64 per pound early in 2026, has offset some affordability pressure, while higher beef imports—projected at 5.79 billion pounds—help stabilize ground-beef blends. Traders are monitoring second-half moderation signals from potential early herd-rebuilding efforts and any softening in grilling-season demand amid broader economic headwinds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,701 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
76%
$8.000+
45%
$9.000+
37%
$10.000+
16%
$18,701 KL.
$7.000+
$50 KL.
76%
$8.000+
$1,518 KL.
45%
$9.000+
$22 KL.
37%
$10.000+
$17,111 KL.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies remain the dominant driver behind elevated ground beef prices, with the U.S. herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 and the beef cow inventory down 1% year-over-year to 27.6 million. Persistent drought and elevated feed costs have sustained herd liquidation, limiting domestic lean-trimmings output and supporting USDA forecasts for a 10.1% rise in overall beef prices this year. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail prices holding near $9.50–$9.64 per pound early in 2026, has offset some affordability pressure, while higher beef imports—projected at 5.79 billion pounds—help stabilize ground-beef blends. Traders are monitoring second-half moderation signals from potential early herd-rebuilding efforts and any softening in grilling-season demand amid broader economic headwinds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Thị trường mở: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Khối lượng
$18,701Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies remain the dominant driver behind elevated ground beef prices, with the U.S. herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 and the beef cow inventory down 1% year-over-year to 27.6 million. Persistent drought and elevated feed costs have sustained herd liquidation, limiting domestic lean-trimmings output and supporting USDA forecasts for a 10.1% rise in overall beef prices this year. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail prices holding near $9.50–$9.64 per pound early in 2026, has offset some affordability pressure, while higher beef imports—projected at 5.79 billion pounds—help stabilize ground-beef blends. Traders are monitoring second-half moderation signals from potential early herd-rebuilding efforts and any softening in grilling-season demand amid broader economic headwinds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Khối lượng
$18,701Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle supplies remain the dominant driver behind elevated ground beef prices, with the U.S. herd at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 2026 and the beef cow inventory down 1% year-over-year to 27.6 million. Persistent drought and elevated feed costs have sustained herd liquidation, limiting domestic lean-trimmings output and supporting USDA forecasts for a 10.1% rise in overall beef prices this year. Strong consumer demand, reflected in retail prices holding near $9.50–$9.64 per pound early in 2026, has offset some affordability pressure, while higher beef imports—projected at 5.79 billion pounds—help stabilize ground-beef blends. Traders are monitoring second-half moderation signals from potential early herd-rebuilding efforts and any softening in grilling-season demand amid broader economic headwinds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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