Russian forces conducted infiltration attempts into Prymorske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast starting late 2025, leveraging proximity to the former Kakhovka Reservoir bed for small-unit advances amid broader pressure near Orikhiv and Huliaipole. Ukrainian counterattacks from February into March 2026 forced Russian units to withdraw from northern and central parts of the settlement, alongside gains in nearby areas such as Novoyakovlivka. These localized Ukrainian operations contributed to over 600 square kilometers of territory recaptured nationwide by mid-2026, slowing Russian momentum in the western Zaporizhzhia sector. As of August 2026, Russian ground operations remain limited without confirmed advances, while Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions and conduct drone strikes on logistics. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects these battlefield dynamics, Ukrainian force concentration, and the attritional character of fighting in the region, with potential shifts tied to Russian reinforcements or further Ukrainian counteroffensives through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill Russia capture Prymorske by...?
Will Russia capture Prymorske by...?
$50,999 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
4%
December 31
18%
$50,999 KL.
September 30
$11,629 KL.
4%
December 31
$22,160 KL.
18%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces conducted infiltration attempts into Prymorske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast starting late 2025, leveraging proximity to the former Kakhovka Reservoir bed for small-unit advances amid broader pressure near Orikhiv and Huliaipole. Ukrainian counterattacks from February into March 2026 forced Russian units to withdraw from northern and central parts of the settlement, alongside gains in nearby areas such as Novoyakovlivka. These localized Ukrainian operations contributed to over 600 square kilometers of territory recaptured nationwide by mid-2026, slowing Russian momentum in the western Zaporizhzhia sector. As of August 2026, Russian ground operations remain limited without confirmed advances, while Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions and conduct drone strikes on logistics. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects these battlefield dynamics, Ukrainian force concentration, and the attritional character of fighting in the region, with potential shifts tied to Russian reinforcements or further Ukrainian counteroffensives through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ET
Khối lượng
$50,999Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.Russian forces conducted infiltration attempts into Prymorske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast starting late 2025, leveraging proximity to the former Kakhovka Reservoir bed for small-unit advances amid broader pressure near Orikhiv and Huliaipole. Ukrainian counterattacks from February into March 2026 forced Russian units to withdraw from northern and central parts of the settlement, alongside gains in nearby areas such as Novoyakovlivka. These localized Ukrainian operations contributed to over 600 square kilometers of territory recaptured nationwide by mid-2026, slowing Russian momentum in the western Zaporizhzhia sector. As of August 2026, Russian ground operations remain limited without confirmed advances, while Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions and conduct drone strikes on logistics. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects these battlefield dynamics, Ukrainian force concentration, and the attritional character of fighting in the region, with potential shifts tied to Russian reinforcements or further Ukrainian counteroffensives through year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 47.623814° N, 35.288073° E in Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the intersection, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Intersection Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske1.png
Intersection Location in Prymorske: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske2.png
Prymorske Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Prymorske3.png
Location on Google Maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/24Phjwny3eMMMZ3A8
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$50,999Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 30, 2026, 3:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces conducted infiltration attempts into Prymorske in Zaporizhzhia Oblast starting late 2025, leveraging proximity to the former Kakhovka Reservoir bed for small-unit advances amid broader pressure near Orikhiv and Huliaipole. Ukrainian counterattacks from February into March 2026 forced Russian units to withdraw from northern and central parts of the settlement, alongside gains in nearby areas such as Novoyakovlivka. These localized Ukrainian operations contributed to over 600 square kilometers of territory recaptured nationwide by mid-2026, slowing Russian momentum in the western Zaporizhzhia sector. As of August 2026, Russian ground operations remain limited without confirmed advances, while Ukrainian forces maintain defensive positions and conduct drone strikes on logistics. Trader consensus on capture timelines reflects these battlefield dynamics, Ukrainian force concentration, and the attritional character of fighting in the region, with potential shifts tied to Russian reinforcements or further Ukrainian counteroffensives through year-end.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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