Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over core territorial disputes, especially Russian insistence on full control of the Donbas region, following limited progress in U.S.-mediated trilateral meetings in Geneva during February 2026. Recent short-term ceasefires, including the three-day halt around May 9–11, produced prisoner exchanges but quickly broke down amid mutual accusations of violations and renewed strikes. Russian officials have signaled no urgency to resume substantive talks, while battlefield dynamics show continued fighting, Ukrainian territorial gains in some sectors, and Russia's net loss of ground in April 2026. These persistent barriers and the absence of major diplomatic breakthroughs sustain trader consensus that a binding peace agreement is unlikely before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$571,405 KL.
$571,405 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
$571,405 KL.
$571,405 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over core territorial disputes, especially Russian insistence on full control of the Donbas region, following limited progress in U.S.-mediated trilateral meetings in Geneva during February 2026. Recent short-term ceasefires, including the three-day halt around May 9–11, produced prisoner exchanges but quickly broke down amid mutual accusations of violations and renewed strikes. Russian officials have signaled no urgency to resume substantive talks, while battlefield dynamics show continued fighting, Ukrainian territorial gains in some sectors, and Russia's net loss of ground in April 2026. These persistent barriers and the absence of major diplomatic breakthroughs sustain trader consensus that a binding peace agreement is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$571,405Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over core territorial disputes, especially Russian insistence on full control of the Donbas region, following limited progress in U.S.-mediated trilateral meetings in Geneva during February 2026. Recent short-term ceasefires, including the three-day halt around May 9–11, produced prisoner exchanges but quickly broke down amid mutual accusations of violations and renewed strikes. Russian officials have signaled no urgency to resume substantive talks, while battlefield dynamics show continued fighting, Ukrainian territorial gains in some sectors, and Russia's net loss of ground in April 2026. These persistent barriers and the absence of major diplomatic breakthroughs sustain trader consensus that a binding peace agreement is unlikely before 2027.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Ukraine signs any written instrument (e.g., treaty, ceasefire/armistice, framework/“roadmap,” exchange of letters, or mediated agreement text) that: (i) includes both Ukraine and the Russian Federation as parties, and (ii) either ends hostilities/establishes a ceasefire or commits both sides to a defined process toward ending the war (i.e., stated objective of peace/normalization plus principles, steps, and/or a timetable) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Only Ukraine’s signature is required; Russia’s signature or ratification is not.
Localized, temporary, or issue-specific arrangements—such as airstrike-limitation or deconfliction protocols, humanitarian pauses, evacuation corridors, prisoner-exchange or trade/export arrangements, border/DMZ adjustments, or ceasefires limited to a particular sector/front/municipality—will not qualify.
The document must bear a wet-ink or officially issued electronic signature of an authorized Ukrainian representative. Unsigned agreements (e.g., the 2023 Ohrid arrangement) will not qualify regardless of if they are otherwise officially enacted.
The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$571,405Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Negotiations between Ukraine and Russia remain stalled over core territorial disputes, especially Russian insistence on full control of the Donbas region, following limited progress in U.S.-mediated trilateral meetings in Geneva during February 2026. Recent short-term ceasefires, including the three-day halt around May 9–11, produced prisoner exchanges but quickly broke down amid mutual accusations of violations and renewed strikes. Russian officials have signaled no urgency to resume substantive talks, while battlefield dynamics show continued fighting, Ukrainian territorial gains in some sectors, and Russia's net loss of ground in April 2026. These persistent barriers and the absence of major diplomatic breakthroughs sustain trader consensus that a binding peace agreement is unlikely before 2027.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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