Continued extension of martial law through at least August 2026, combined with Ukraine’s constitutional ban on holding presidential elections during wartime, remains the primary driver keeping the implied probability of Zelenskyy’s removal by year-end at 15.5%. Recent parliamentary approval and presidential signing of the latest 90-day renewal in late April reinforced this legal barrier, while Zelenskyy has publicly conditioned any vote on a prior ceasefire and security guarantees. Ongoing diplomatic engagements, including May meetings with European leaders on air defense and military support, alongside army reforms announced in early May, signal sustained institutional control and international backing. Without a verified end to hostilities or domestic removal mechanism before the resolution date, traders price continuity as the dominant outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCó
$2,145,270 KL.
$2,145,270 KL.
Có
$2,145,270 KL.
$2,145,270 KL.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Continued extension of martial law through at least August 2026, combined with Ukraine’s constitutional ban on holding presidential elections during wartime, remains the primary driver keeping the implied probability of Zelenskyy’s removal by year-end at 15.5%. Recent parliamentary approval and presidential signing of the latest 90-day renewal in late April reinforced this legal barrier, while Zelenskyy has publicly conditioned any vote on a prior ceasefire and security guarantees. Ongoing diplomatic engagements, including May meetings with European leaders on air defense and military support, alongside army reforms announced in early May, signal sustained institutional control and international backing. Without a verified end to hostilities or domestic removal mechanism before the resolution date, traders price continuity as the dominant outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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