The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because a Duterte-aligned bloc holds enough seats to complicate reaching the constitutional two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senators. Ongoing debates over whether the threshold applies to all members or only those able to participate—given detentions or absences of several senator-judges—have introduced procedural uncertainty, with retired Supreme Court justices recently offering conflicting views as amici curiae. The House articles focus on alleged misuse of funds, graft, and threats, but the lengthy schedule of witness testimony, with dozens of sessions remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, allows time for cross-aisle shifts or new developments in Senate alliances to influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?
48% khả năng
$12,651 KL.
$12,651 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
48% khả năng
$12,651 KL.
$12,651 KL.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because a Duterte-aligned bloc holds enough seats to complicate reaching the constitutional two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senators. Ongoing debates over whether the threshold applies to all members or only those able to participate—given detentions or absences of several senator-judges—have introduced procedural uncertainty, with retired Supreme Court justices recently offering conflicting views as amici curiae. The House articles focus on alleged misuse of funds, graft, and threats, but the lengthy schedule of witness testimony, with dozens of sessions remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, allows time for cross-aisle shifts or new developments in Senate alliances to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Thị trường mở: May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,651Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because a Duterte-aligned bloc holds enough seats to complicate reaching the constitutional two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senators. Ongoing debates over whether the threshold applies to all members or only those able to participate—given detentions or absences of several senator-judges—have introduced procedural uncertainty, with retired Supreme Court justices recently offering conflicting views as amici curiae. The House articles focus on alleged misuse of funds, graft, and threats, but the lengthy schedule of witness testimony, with dozens of sessions remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, allows time for cross-aisle shifts or new developments in Senate alliances to influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Senate of the Philippines convicts Sara Duterte of any of the articles of impeachment passed by the House of Representatives of the Philippines in May, 2026 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
This market may resolve early in favor of "No" if the Senate rejects, remands, or otherwise disposes of all of the relevant articles of impeachment without convicting Duterte.
The primary resolution source is the Senate of the Philippines and other official information from the government of the Philippines, however other credible reporting may be used.
Khối lượng
$12,651Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 21, 2026, 1:37 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...The Philippine Senate impeachment trial of Vice President Sara Duterte, underway since July 6, 2026, remains closely balanced because a Duterte-aligned bloc holds enough seats to complicate reaching the constitutional two-thirds threshold of 16 votes out of 24 senators. Ongoing debates over whether the threshold applies to all members or only those able to participate—given detentions or absences of several senator-judges—have introduced procedural uncertainty, with retired Supreme Court justices recently offering conflicting views as amici curiae. The House articles focus on alleged misuse of funds, graft, and threats, but the lengthy schedule of witness testimony, with dozens of sessions remaining before the December 31, 2026 resolution deadline, allows time for cross-aisle shifts or new developments in Senate alliances to influence the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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