The constitutional amendment process imposes the primary barrier, requiring two-thirds approval in both chambers of Congress followed by ratification from three-fourths of state legislatures—a threshold rarely met for structural changes to the executive branch. As of mid-2026, no legislative proposals or organized state-level efforts have advanced to signal momentum, and historical patterns show term-limit reforms face entrenched opposition across party lines due to concerns over power concentration. Trader consensus at 95%+ for no repeal reflects these procedural realities and the absence of any catalyzing events such as congressional supermajorities or coordinated campaigns. Even with unified Republican control, the 22nd Amendment's entrenched status and state ratification timelines make near-term action improbable, though an unforeseen national crisis or dramatic realignment in state legislatures could theoretically reopen the question before year-end.