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icon for AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者

Jerry Carl 77%

瑞特·馬奎斯 18%

約書亞·麥基 1.9%

奧斯汀·席德威爾 1.8%

Polymarket

$40,662 交易量

Jerry Carl 77%

瑞特·馬奎斯 18%

約書亞·麥基 1.9%

奧斯汀·席德威爾 1.8%

Polymarket

$40,662 交易量

Jerry Carl

$1,219 交易量

67%

瑞特·馬奎斯

$324 交易量

14%

約書亞·麥基

$174 交易量

2%

奧斯汀·席德威爾

$13,603 交易量

2%

詹姆斯·迪斯

$4,307 交易量

1%

詹姆斯·理查森

$5,677 交易量

1%

約翰·米爾斯

$15,358 交易量

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Alabama’s congressional maps has reshaped the Republican primary for the state’s 1st District, prompting state Rep. Rhett Marques to switch his candidacy to the 2nd District and removing him as the leading challenger. Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl, who previously represented the district, has announced he will remain in the race under the revised boundaries. This development has sharply reduced competition among the remaining candidates, including Joshua McKee and others, consolidating trader consensus around Carl as the frontrunner. The primary, originally scheduled for mid-May and later adjusted to August, now features a clearer path for Carl amid ongoing redistricting impacts and limited polling shifts in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,662
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.A recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling on Alabama’s congressional maps has reshaped the Republican primary for the state’s 1st District, prompting state Rep. Rhett Marques to switch his candidacy to the 2nd District and removing him as the leading challenger. Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl, who previously represented the district, has announced he will remain in the race under the revised boundaries. This development has sharply reduced competition among the remaining candidates, including Joshua McKee and others, consolidating trader consensus around Carl as the frontrunner. The primary, originally scheduled for mid-May and later adjusted to August, now features a clearer path for Carl amid ongoing redistricting impacts and limited polling shifts in the final weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$40,662
結束日期
2026-05-19
市場開放時間
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jerry Carl" at 67%, followed by "瑞特·馬奎斯" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $40.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Jerry Carl" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "瑞特·馬奎斯" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "AL-01共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.