Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the state's consistent performance in presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat gubernatorial race. Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after easily winning the May 2026 primary and prevailing in related residency challenges, positioning him against Democrat Doug Jones in a November 3 rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polling and forecasts reflect double-digit leads consistent with Alabama's partisan fundamentals and the absence of major Democratic breakthroughs since 1998. Late developments such as significant scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high opposition turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$16,111 交易量
$16,111 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican
91%
Democrat
9%
$16,111 交易量
$16,111 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican
$8,004 交易量
91%
Democrat
$8,106 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the state's consistent performance in presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat gubernatorial race. Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after easily winning the May 2026 primary and prevailing in related residency challenges, positioning him against Democrat Doug Jones in a November 3 rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polling and forecasts reflect double-digit leads consistent with Alabama's partisan fundamentals and the absence of major Democratic breakthroughs since 1998. Late developments such as significant scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high opposition turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
交易量
$16,111結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Alabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the state's consistent performance in presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat gubernatorial race. Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after easily winning the May 2026 primary and prevailing in related residency challenges, positioning him against Democrat Doug Jones in a November 3 rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polling and forecasts reflect double-digit leads consistent with Alabama's partisan fundamentals and the absence of major Democratic breakthroughs since 1998. Late developments such as significant scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high opposition turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Alabama gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$16,111結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETAlabama's entrenched Republican advantage in statewide contests, reinforced by the state's consistent performance in presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee in this open-seat gubernatorial race. Tommy Tuberville secured the Republican nomination after easily winning the May 2026 primary and prevailing in related residency challenges, positioning him against Democrat Doug Jones in a November 3 rematch of their 2020 Senate contest. Recent polling and forecasts reflect double-digit leads consistent with Alabama's partisan fundamentals and the absence of major Democratic breakthroughs since 1998. Late developments such as significant scandals, health events affecting the frontrunner, or unusually high opposition turnout remain the primary variables that could narrow the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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