Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner
2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner
$13,473 交易量
$13,473 交易量
2027-04-30
Ron Nirenberg
96%
Patrick Von Dohlen
3%
$13,473 交易量
$13,473 交易量
2027-04-30
Ron Nirenberg
$9,259 交易量
96%
Patrick Von Dohlen
$4,214 交易量
3%
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
交易量
$13,473結束日期
2027-05-01市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ETThe 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
交易量
$13,473結束日期
2027-05-01市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ETRon Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai with 62% of the primary vote in March 2026, positioning the former San Antonio mayor as the clear general election frontrunner against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen on November 3. Bexar County’s consistent Democratic performance in recent countywide contests, combined with Nirenberg’s high name recognition and fundraising edge, has shaped trader consensus around his commanding implied probability. Von Dohlen, who ran unopposed in the Republican primary, faces structural headwinds in a jurisdiction where Democrats have held the office for more than a decade. Late developments such as unexpected turnout shifts, candidate health issues, or major scandals could still alter the outcome before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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Frequently Asked Questions