Mark Keough holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montgomery County Judge race as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the heavily Republican county north of Houston. He secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a narrow 51-49% margin over challenger Wayne Mack and now faces Democrat James Graf in the November 3 general election. Traders price Keough near 95% based on the county’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, his record of tax reductions, infrastructure focus, and emergency management leadership, plus the structural advantages of incumbency and party registration. Graf’s path remains narrow absent a major shift in turnout, late developments, or unexpected events that could alter the established partisan baseline before early voting begins in October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner
2026 Montgomery County Judge Election Winner
$32,428 交易量
$32,428 交易量
2027-04-30
Mark Keough
96%
James Graf
3%
$32,428 交易量
$32,428 交易量
2027-04-30
Mark Keough
$27,573 交易量
96%
James Graf
$4,856 交易量
3%
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.Mark Keough holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montgomery County Judge race as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the heavily Republican county north of Houston. He secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a narrow 51-49% margin over challenger Wayne Mack and now faces Democrat James Graf in the November 3 general election. Traders price Keough near 95% based on the county’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, his record of tax reductions, infrastructure focus, and emergency management leadership, plus the structural advantages of incumbency and party registration. Graf’s path remains narrow absent a major shift in turnout, late developments, or unexpected events that could alter the established partisan baseline before early voting begins in October.
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
交易量
$32,428結束日期
2027-05-01市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ETThe 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.Mark Keough holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montgomery County Judge race as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the heavily Republican county north of Houston. He secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a narrow 51-49% margin over challenger Wayne Mack and now faces Democrat James Graf in the November 3 general election. Traders price Keough near 95% based on the county’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, his record of tax reductions, infrastructure focus, and emergency management leadership, plus the structural advantages of incumbency and party registration. Graf’s path remains narrow absent a major shift in turnout, late developments, or unexpected events that could alter the established partisan baseline before early voting begins in October.
The 2026 Montgomery County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Montgomery County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Montgomery County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Montgomery County.
交易量
$32,428結束日期
2027-05-01市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:00 PM ETMark Keough holds a commanding position in the 2026 Montgomery County Judge race as the Republican incumbent seeking a third term in the heavily Republican county north of Houston. He secured the GOP nomination in the March primary by a narrow 51-49% margin over challenger Wayne Mack and now faces Democrat James Graf in the November 3 general election. Traders price Keough near 95% based on the county’s consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, his record of tax reductions, infrastructure focus, and emergency management leadership, plus the structural advantages of incumbency and party registration. Graf’s path remains narrow absent a major shift in turnout, late developments, or unexpected events that could alter the established partisan baseline before early voting begins in October.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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