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選舉·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

icon for CA-14 Primary Winners
選舉·June 2 Primaries

CA-14 Primary Winners

$6,681 交易量

2026-06-02
Polymarket

$6,681 交易量

Polymarket

Aisha Wahab

$896 交易量

100%

Melissa Hernandez

$528 交易量

99%

Matt Ortega

$1,186 交易量

2%

Wendy Huang

$1,090 交易量

2%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$491 交易量

1%

Suzanne Chenault

$331 交易量

1%

Carin Elam

$641 交易量

<1%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$1,520 交易量

<1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab secured the top spot in California's 14th Congressional District primary on June 2 with roughly 38.5% of the vote, followed by Melissa Hernandez at 17%, allowing both Democrats to advance under the state's top-two system. The open seat, vacated after incumbent Eric Swalwell shifted to a gubernatorial bid, drew a crowded Democratic field including state Senator Wahab, who received the state party endorsement, alongside BART board member Hernandez and several other contenders. Republican candidates trailed significantly behind. With the primary concluded and results certified in the heavily Democratic eastern San Francisco Bay Area district, trader consensus has converged on these two advancing, consistent with vote totals and historical patterns in similar safe Democratic contests. The upcoming special primary on June 16 addresses a separate vacancy process.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,681
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Aisha Wahab secured the top spot in California's 14th Congressional District primary on June 2 with roughly 38.5% of the vote, followed by Melissa Hernandez at 17%, allowing both Democrats to advance under the state's top-two system. The open seat, vacated after incumbent Eric Swalwell shifted to a gubernatorial bid, drew a crowded Democratic field including state Senator Wahab, who received the state party endorsement, alongside BART board member Hernandez and several other contenders. Republican candidates trailed significantly behind. With the primary concluded and results certified in the heavily Democratic eastern San Francisco Bay Area district, trader consensus has converged on these two advancing, consistent with vote totals and historical patterns in similar safe Democratic contests. The upcoming special primary on June 16 addresses a separate vacancy process.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$6,681
結束日期
2026-06-02
市場開放時間
May 21, 2026, 6:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 14h congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"CA-14 Primary Winners" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aisha Wahab" at 100%, followed by "Melissa Hernandez" at 99%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"CA-14 Primary Winners" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "CA-14 Primary Winners," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "CA-14 Primary Winners" is "Aisha Wahab" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Melissa Hernandez" at 99%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "CA-14 Primary Winners" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.