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政治·主要

紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for 紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者

布拉德·蘭德 83%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 交易量

布拉德·蘭德 83%

Dan Goldman 18%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Alexa Avilés <1%

Polymarket

$11,942 交易量

布拉德·蘭德

$4,962 交易量

83%

Dan Goldman

$2,469 交易量

18%

Cameron Kasky

$1,591 交易量

<1%

Alexa Avilés

$1,608 交易量

<1%

牛毓琳

$1,313 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a recent Schoen Cooperman Research poll commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC showing him ahead 47%-42% among likely voters, even as the incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman self-funds millions and secures endorsements from Gov. Kathy Hochul, House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and the United Federation of Teachers following a May 11 rally with labor unions. Lander benefits from strong progressive support including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and 32BJ SEIU in the district's Brownstone Brooklyn base, where his comptroller name recognition bolsters turnout among key voting blocs. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou trail far behind in polling. Late shifts remain possible amid ongoing ad wars and union mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,942
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus heavily favors former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander at 83% to win the NY-10 Democratic primary on June 23, driven by a recent Schoen Cooperman Research poll commissioned by a pro-Goldman super PAC showing him ahead 47%-42% among likely voters, even as the incumbent Rep. Dan Goldman self-funds millions and secures endorsements from Gov. Kathy Hochul, House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries, and the United Federation of Teachers following a May 11 rally with labor unions. Lander benefits from strong progressive support including Mayor Zohran Mamdani and 32BJ SEIU in the district's Brownstone Brooklyn base, where his comptroller name recognition bolsters turnout among key voting blocs. Minor candidates like Cameron Kasky, Alexa Avilés, and Yuh-Line Niou trail far behind in polling. Late shifts remain possible amid ongoing ad wars and union mobilization.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$11,942
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 3:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "布拉德·蘭德" at 83%, followed by "Dan Goldman" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 83¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $11.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者" is "布拉德·蘭德" at 83%, meaning the market assigns a 83% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Goldman" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "紐約-10民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.