Skip to main content
icon for UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

icon for UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者

Ben McAdams 79%

內特·布盧因 16%

利班·穆罕默德 7.2%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,880 交易量

Ben McAdams 79%

內特·布盧因 16%

利班·穆罕默德 7.2%

Erin Mendenhall <1%

Polymarket

$29,880 交易量

Ben McAdams

$7,943 交易量

79%

內特·布盧因

$4,106 交易量

16%

利班·穆罕默德

$744 交易量

7%

Erin Mendenhall

$4,508 交易量

<1%

盧茲·艾斯卡米拉

$5,829 交易量

<1%

卡羅琳·格萊奇

$1,228 交易量

<1%

Brian King

$1,190 交易量

<1%

凱瑟琳·裡貝

$1,615 交易量

<1%

麥可·法瑞爾

$282 交易量

<1%

Kael Weston

$1,101 交易量

<1%

珍妮·威爾森

$1,333 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ben McAdams maintains a commanding lead in the Utah 1st District Democratic primary due to his dominant fundraising edge, prior congressional experience, and broad name recognition across the newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning district. Recent campaign finance reports show him raising over $1.5 million, nearly three times the total for state Sen. Nate Blouin, his closest rival, who has faced renewed scrutiny over past online comments that prompted endorsements to shift toward McAdams. Liban Mohamed's narrow win at the state convention reflected delegate preferences for progressive messaging, yet the June 23 primary opens the contest to a wider electorate of registered voters where McAdams's centrist positioning and organizational resources provide a structural advantage. Other candidates trail with limited visibility and resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$29,880
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ben McAdams maintains a commanding lead in the Utah 1st District Democratic primary due to his dominant fundraising edge, prior congressional experience, and broad name recognition across the newly redrawn, Democratic-leaning district. Recent campaign finance reports show him raising over $1.5 million, nearly three times the total for state Sen. Nate Blouin, his closest rival, who has faced renewed scrutiny over past online comments that prompted endorsements to shift toward McAdams. Liban Mohamed's narrow win at the state convention reflected delegate preferences for progressive messaging, yet the June 23 primary opens the contest to a wider electorate of registered voters where McAdams's centrist positioning and organizational resources provide a structural advantage. Other candidates trail with limited visibility and resources.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$29,880
結束日期
2026-06-23
市場開放時間
Nov 25, 2025, 4:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben McAdams" at 79%, followed by "內特·布盧因" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" has generated $29.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" is "Ben McAdams" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "內特·布盧因" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "UT-01民主黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.