Anthropic’s internal data showing Claude authoring over 80% of merged production code by May 2026, paired with the June 9 launch of stronger models like Fable 5 and Mythos 5, forms the main driver behind the market’s pricing of elevated commit volumes. Traders see the self-reinforcing loop—where advanced coding agents accelerate further model work—as sustaining momentum through month-end, even as the 7-day average metric remains sensitive to short-term fluctuations. Recent GitHub activity around Claude Code, now exceeding 130k stars with frequent updates, supports continued external contribution trends, while Microsoft’s planned phase-out of some licenses by June 30 introduces a modest counterweight. The spread across bins reflects uncertainty over whether recent capability gains translate into a final-week surge or plateau.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於750.0k+ 41%
700.0-750.0k 15.0%
550.0-600.0k 13%
500.0-550.0k 12%
<500.0k
9%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
13%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
10%
700.0-750.0k
15%
750.0k+
39%
750.0k+ 41%
700.0-750.0k 15.0%
550.0-600.0k 13%
500.0-550.0k 12%
<500.0k
9%
500.0-550.0k
12%
550.0-600.0k
13%
600.0-650.0k
12%
650.0-700.0k
10%
700.0-750.0k
15%
750.0k+
39%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
市場開放時間: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Only daily "7D Avg Commits" figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been published. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s internal data showing Claude authoring over 80% of merged production code by May 2026, paired with the June 9 launch of stronger models like Fable 5 and Mythos 5, forms the main driver behind the market’s pricing of elevated commit volumes. Traders see the self-reinforcing loop—where advanced coding agents accelerate further model work—as sustaining momentum through month-end, even as the 7-day average metric remains sensitive to short-term fluctuations. Recent GitHub activity around Claude Code, now exceeding 130k stars with frequent updates, supports continued external contribution trends, while Microsoft’s planned phase-out of some licenses by June 30 introduces a modest counterweight. The spread across bins reflects uncertainty over whether recent capability gains translate into a final-week surge or plateau.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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