Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 交易量
$3,484,769 交易量
2026-08-14
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
Yes
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
180-199 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$3,484,769 交易量
$3,484,769 交易量
2026-08-14
<20
$6,564 交易量
No
20-39
$4,245 交易量
No
40-59
$7,237 交易量
No
60-79
$31,347 交易量
No
80-99
$105,676 交易量
No
100-119
$283,000 交易量
No
120-139
$403,992 交易量
No
140-159
$349,013 交易量
No
160-179
$233,599 交易量
No
180-199
$432,489 交易量
Yes
200-219
$545,501 交易量
No
220-239
$300,289 交易量
No
240-259
$225,024 交易量
No
260-279
$117,661 交易量
No
280-299
$82,283 交易量
No
300-319
$78,462 交易量
No
320-339
$50,309 交易量
No
340-359
$51,158 交易量
No
360-379
$33,043 交易量
No
380-399
$35,175 交易量
No
400-419
$23,258 交易量
No
420-439
$19,423 交易量
No
440-459
$12,673 交易量
No
460-479
$10,346 交易量
No
480-499
$10,196 交易量
No
500+
$32,807 交易量
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
交易量
$3,484,769結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$3,484,769結束日期
2026-08-14市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X underpins the market’s 100% alignment with the 180-199 tweet bracket for the August 7-14 window. Recent tracking shows daily outputs frequently reaching 25–40 posts, including replies, media, and commentary on Tesla, SpaceX, and xAI developments, with one verified day hitting 41 posts. This rhythm aligns precisely with the eight-day total implied by trader consensus. An upset would require an abrupt slowdown—such as extended travel, a major offline focus, or deliberate restraint—yet Musk’s history of sustained activity during comparable business cycles makes such a shift improbable before the period closes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions