Robust labor market data and still-elevated inflation continue to anchor the Federal Reserve’s policy stance, with the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.1% amid solid payroll gains. Traders price the fed funds rate near 3.63% with expectations of further tightening rather than cuts, reflecting consensus that no acute crisis or sharp downturn warrants emergency easing before 2027. Official communications under Chair Warsh have reinforced a patient, data-dependent approach, keeping market-implied odds of an emergency cut extremely low. A sudden financial shock, sharp contraction in employment, or rapid disinflation could still alter the path, though current indicators show little sign of such developments materializing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
6% 機率
$218,800 交易量
$218,800 交易量
2026-12-31
是
6% 機率
$218,800 交易量
$218,800 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Robust labor market data and still-elevated inflation continue to anchor the Federal Reserve’s policy stance, with the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.1% amid solid payroll gains. Traders price the fed funds rate near 3.63% with expectations of further tightening rather than cuts, reflecting consensus that no acute crisis or sharp downturn warrants emergency easing before 2027. Official communications under Chair Warsh have reinforced a patient, data-dependent approach, keeping market-implied odds of an emergency cut extremely low. A sudden financial shock, sharp contraction in employment, or rapid disinflation could still alter the path, though current indicators show little sign of such developments materializing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
市場開放時間： Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
交易量
$218,800結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.Robust labor market data and still-elevated inflation continue to anchor the Federal Reserve’s policy stance, with the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.1% amid solid payroll gains. Traders price the fed funds rate near 3.63% with expectations of further tightening rather than cuts, reflecting consensus that no acute crisis or sharp downturn warrants emergency easing before 2027. Official communications under Chair Warsh have reinforced a patient, data-dependent approach, keeping market-implied odds of an emergency cut extremely low. A sudden financial shock, sharp contraction in employment, or rapid disinflation could still alter the path, though current indicators show little sign of such developments materializing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) holds an emergency meeting after which the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lowered between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
交易量
$218,800結束日期
2027-01-01市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ETRobust labor market data and still-elevated inflation continue to anchor the Federal Reserve’s policy stance, with the August 2026 CPI rising 3.4% year-over-year and unemployment holding at 4.1% amid solid payroll gains. Traders price the fed funds rate near 3.63% with expectations of further tightening rather than cuts, reflecting consensus that no acute crisis or sharp downturn warrants emergency easing before 2027. Official communications under Chair Warsh have reinforced a patient, data-dependent approach, keeping market-implied odds of an emergency cut extremely low. A sudden financial shock, sharp contraction in employment, or rapid disinflation could still alter the path, though current indicators show little sign of such developments materializing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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