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選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

蘭迪·范恩 85%

Dan Bilzerian 8.7%

亞倫·貝克 3.6%

Alexandra Van Cleef 2.2%

Polymarket

$155,069 交易量

蘭迪·范恩 85%

Dan Bilzerian 8.7%

亞倫·貝克 3.6%

Alexandra Van Cleef 2.2%

Polymarket

$155,069 交易量

蘭迪·范恩

$15,943 交易量

85%

Dan Bilzerian

$48,534 交易量

9%

亞倫·貝克

$15,840 交易量

4%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$33,228 交易量

2%

約書亞·瓦斯奎茲

$10,983 交易量

<1%

查爾斯·甘巴羅

$11,392 交易量

<1%

Ernest Audino

$19,148 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Representative Randy Fine holds an 84.5% trader consensus in the August 18, 2026 Republican primary for Florida's 6th Congressional District due to his 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising totals exceeding $2.5 million by late March, and endorsements from President Trump, House Speaker Mike Johnson, and multiple district sheriffs. These factors give Fine a substantial edge in a low-turnout primary against lesser-known challengers. Dan Bilzerian at 8.7% draws some national attention from his social media profile, while Alexandra Van Cleef at 3.9% and Aaron Baker at 3.5% rely on limited grassroots support and personal loans. The remaining candidates trail below 1% amid Fine's structural advantages in a solidly Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$155,069
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Representative Randy Fine holds an 84.5% trader consensus in the August 18, 2026 Republican primary for Florida's 6th Congressional District due to his 2025 special election victory, dominant fundraising totals exceeding $2.5 million by late March, and endorsements from President Trump, House Speaker Mike Johnson, and multiple district sheriffs. These factors give Fine a substantial edge in a low-turnout primary against lesser-known challengers. Dan Bilzerian at 8.7% draws some national attention from his social media profile, while Alexandra Van Cleef at 3.9% and Aaron Baker at 3.5% rely on limited grassroots support and personal loans. The remaining candidates trail below 1% amid Fine's structural advantages in a solidly Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$155,069
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘭迪·范恩" at 85%, followed by "Dan Bilzerian" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $155.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is "蘭迪·范恩" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Bilzerian" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.