Skip to main content
icon for TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者
政治·主要

TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者

Everett Jackson 83.9%

Sholdon Daniels 10%

Gregor Heise 7.7%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$24,168 交易量

Everett Jackson 83.9%

Sholdon Daniels 10%

Gregor Heise 7.7%

Nils Walker <1%

Polymarket

$24,168 交易量

Everett Jackson

$2,623 交易量

80%

Sholdon Daniels

$9,609 交易量

10%

Gregor Heise

$10,561 交易量

11%

Nils Walker

$1,375 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 Republican primary runoff because his 38% showing in the March 3 primary placed him well ahead of Sholdon Daniels at 24% and eliminated both Gregor Heise and Nils Walker. That first-round margin has translated into sustained trader support for Jackson ahead of the May 26 contest, reflecting his stronger vote totals across Dallas and Tarrant counties. Daniels has maintained a narrower path through targeted outreach as a veteran and attorney, yet the absence of major campaign shifts or endorsements in recent weeks has kept probabilities stable. The open seat in this heavily Democratic district limits broader GOP attention, leaving the runoff dynamics dominated by the initial primary results and low overall turnout expectations.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,168
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Everett Jackson holds a commanding lead in the TX-30 Republican primary runoff because his 38% showing in the March 3 primary placed him well ahead of Sholdon Daniels at 24% and eliminated both Gregor Heise and Nils Walker. That first-round margin has translated into sustained trader support for Jackson ahead of the May 26 contest, reflecting his stronger vote totals across Dallas and Tarrant counties. Daniels has maintained a narrower path through targeted outreach as a veteran and attorney, yet the absence of major campaign shifts or endorsements in recent weeks has kept probabilities stable. The open seat in this heavily Democratic district limits broader GOP attention, leaving the runoff dynamics dominated by the initial primary results and low overall turnout expectations.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$24,168
結束日期
2026-05-26
市場開放時間
Dec 18, 2025, 3:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Everett Jackson" at 80%, followed by "Gregor Heise" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $24.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 18, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" is "Everett Jackson" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gregor Heise" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "TX-30共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.