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選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

icon for FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者
選舉·共和黨初選

FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者

蘭迪·范恩 85%

Dan Bilzerian 8.7%

亞倫·貝克 3.6%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$154,778 交易量

蘭迪·范恩 85%

Dan Bilzerian 8.7%

亞倫·貝克 3.6%

Alexandra Van Cleef <1%

Polymarket

$154,778 交易量

蘭迪·范恩

$15,943 交易量

85%

Dan Bilzerian

$48,534 交易量

9%

亞倫·貝克

$15,840 交易量

4%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$32,938 交易量

1%

約書亞·瓦斯奎茲

$10,983 交易量

<1%

查爾斯·甘巴羅

$11,392 交易量

<1%

Ernest Audino

$19,148 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, reflecting his status as the incumbent who won the seat in a 2025 special election. Strong fundraising totals exceeding $3.5 million, combined with establishment support and a Trump endorsement, have solidified trader consensus around his nomination. Dan Bilzerian’s early April entry as a high-profile challenger briefly boosted his visibility through national name recognition, yet limited local ties and political experience have kept his odds modest. Lower-tier candidates including Aaron Baker and Charles Gambaro trail with minimal resources and grassroots activity. In this solidly Republican district, the primary’s low turnout favors the well-funded incumbent over novelty entrants, with no major endorsements or polling shifts reported in recent weeks to alter the current positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$154,778
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine holds a commanding lead in the Republican primary for Florida’s 6th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, reflecting his status as the incumbent who won the seat in a 2025 special election. Strong fundraising totals exceeding $3.5 million, combined with establishment support and a Trump endorsement, have solidified trader consensus around his nomination. Dan Bilzerian’s early April entry as a high-profile challenger briefly boosted his visibility through national name recognition, yet limited local ties and political experience have kept his odds modest. Lower-tier candidates including Aaron Baker and Charles Gambaro trail with minimal resources and grassroots activity. In this solidly Republican district, the primary’s low turnout favors the well-funded incumbent over novelty entrants, with no major endorsements or polling shifts reported in recent weeks to alter the current positioning.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
交易量
$154,778
結束日期
2026-08-18
市場開放時間
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "蘭迪·范恩" at 85%, followed by "Dan Bilzerian" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" has generated $154.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 13, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" is "蘭迪·范恩" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dan Bilzerian" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "FL-06共和黨初選獲勝者" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.