Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 parliamentary election follows the November 2025 coup and a transitional military council's August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70% of voters despite a PAIGC boycott. The reforms shift toward a stronger presidency, shrink the assembly from 102 to 65 seats, and consolidate constituencies from 29 to 12, altering coalition math in a fragmented field. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing amid its prior governing ties, yet FREPASNA and smaller lists remain competitive because opposition parties face relocation orders, candidate eligibility hurdles, and lingering uncertainty over participation and security. Recent junta enforcement of party-office rules and ECOWAS monitoring of the transition timeline keep probabilities compressed; clearer candidate lists, alliance shifts, or verified polling would likely widen gaps ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家
幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家
FREPASNA 39.9%
PT 10.8%
平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」 7.0%
FLING 4.1%
$159,968 交易量
$159,968 交易量
2025-11-22
FREPASNA
20%
PT
11%
平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」
29%
FLING
4%
社會黨（PS）
3%
MUNDO-GB
3%
FREPASNA 39.9%
PT 10.8%
平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」 7.0%
FLING 4.1%
$159,968 交易量
$159,968 交易量
2025-11-22
FREPASNA
$26,786 交易量
20%
PT
$22,046 交易量
11%
平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」
$48,823 交易量
29%
FLING
$13,132 交易量
4%
社會黨（PS）
$26,296 交易量
3%
MUNDO-GB
$22,884 交易量
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 parliamentary election follows the November 2025 coup and a transitional military council's August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70% of voters despite a PAIGC boycott. The reforms shift toward a stronger presidency, shrink the assembly from 102 to 65 seats, and consolidate constituencies from 29 to 12, altering coalition math in a fragmented field. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing amid its prior governing ties, yet FREPASNA and smaller lists remain competitive because opposition parties face relocation orders, candidate eligibility hurdles, and lingering uncertainty over participation and security. Recent junta enforcement of party-office rules and ECOWAS monitoring of the transition timeline keep probabilities compressed; clearer candidate lists, alliance shifts, or verified polling would likely widen gaps ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
市場開放時間： Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
交易量
$159,968結束日期
2025-11-23市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETParliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Guinea-Bissau's December 2026 parliamentary election follows the November 2025 coup and a transitional military council's August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70% of voters despite a PAIGC boycott. The reforms shift toward a stronger presidency, shrink the assembly from 102 to 65 seats, and consolidate constituencies from 29 to 12, altering coalition math in a fragmented field. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing amid its prior governing ties, yet FREPASNA and smaller lists remain competitive because opposition parties face relocation orders, candidate eligibility hurdles, and lingering uncertainty over participation and security. Recent junta enforcement of party-office rules and ECOWAS monitoring of the transition timeline keep probabilities compressed; clearer candidate lists, alliance shifts, or verified polling would likely widen gaps ahead of the vote.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$159,968結束日期
2025-11-23市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETGuinea-Bissau's December 2026 parliamentary election follows the November 2025 coup and a transitional military council's August 2026 constitutional referendum, approved by roughly 70% of voters despite a PAIGC boycott. The reforms shift toward a stronger presidency, shrink the assembly from 102 to 65 seats, and consolidate constituencies from 29 to 12, altering coalition math in a fragmented field. Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” leads trader pricing amid its prior governing ties, yet FREPASNA and smaller lists remain competitive because opposition parties face relocation orders, candidate eligibility hurdles, and lingering uncertainty over participation and security. Recent junta enforcement of party-office rules and ECOWAS monitoring of the transition timeline keep probabilities compressed; clearer candidate lists, alliance shifts, or verified polling would likely widen gaps ahead of the vote.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions