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icon for 幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家

幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家

icon for 幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家

幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家

平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」 57.9%

FLING 6.2%

社會黨（PS） 5.7%

FREPASNA 4.0%

Polymarket

$140,659 交易量

平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」 57.9%

FLING 6.2%

社會黨（PS） 5.7%

FREPASNA 4.0%

Polymarket

$140,659 交易量

平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」

$39,658 交易量

35%

FLING

$11,905 交易量

6%

社會黨（PS）

$23,568 交易量

6%

FREPASNA

$23,723 交易量

4%

MUNDO-GB

$21,373 交易量

3%

PT

$20,432 交易量

10%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The transitional authorities in Guinea-Bissau have scheduled the next legislative election for December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a military-led interim government under ECOWAS-mediated pressure to restore constitutional order. Trader consensus places the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition in the lead due to its commanding performance in the disrupted 2025 parliamentary vote, where it secured nearly half the support amid a fragmented field. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail as historical also-rans with limited recent visibility. No new polling data or major campaign shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving probabilities anchored to pre-coup patterns and the uncertain timeline of institutional reforms ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$140,659
結束日期
2025-11-23
市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).The transitional authorities in Guinea-Bissau have scheduled the next legislative election for December 6, 2026, following the November 2025 coup that annulled prior results and installed a military-led interim government under ECOWAS-mediated pressure to restore constitutional order. Trader consensus places the Republican Platform “Nô Kumpu Guiné” coalition in the lead due to its commanding performance in the disrupted 2025 parliamentary vote, where it secured nearly half the support amid a fragmented field. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, PS, FREPASNA, and MUNDO-GB trail as historical also-rans with limited recent visibility. No new polling data or major campaign shifts have emerged in the past month, leaving probabilities anchored to pre-coup patterns and the uncertain timeline of institutional reforms ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.

This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.

If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
交易量
$140,659
結束日期
2025-11-23
市場開放時間
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025. This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau. If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」" at 35%, followed by "PT" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家" has generated $140.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家" is "平台共和聯盟「Nô Kumpu Guiné」" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "PT" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "幾內亞比紹全國人民議會選舉贏家" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.