Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Amsterdam highs on June 28 likely peaking near 25–26 °C under a moderating northwest flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating after several days of anomalous warmth. Persistent high pressure that drove temperatures above 30 °C earlier in the week is shifting eastward, allowing cooler maritime air to advect across the North Sea while surface winds strengthen to 15–20 km/h. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the 25–27 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–26 °C because these values align with the consensus maximum from the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C or higher only if unexpected clearing occurs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and KNMI updates for any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter peak readings by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 28?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 28?
26°C 98.8%
28°C 1.1%
27°C 1.1%
30°C or higher <1%
$102,360 交易量
$102,360 交易量
2026-06-28
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 98.8%
28°C 1.1%
27°C 1.1%
30°C or higher <1%
$102,360 交易量
$102,360 交易量
2026-06-28
20°C or below
$221 交易量
<1%
21°C
$231 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,536 交易量
<1%
23°C
$3,569 交易量
<1%
24°C
$26,592 交易量
<1%
25°C
$33,215 交易量
<1%
26°C
$8,459 交易量
99%
27°C
$8,516 交易量
1%
28°C
$9,903 交易量
1%
29°C
$4,505 交易量
<1%
30°C or higher
$4,625 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Amsterdam highs on June 28 likely peaking near 25–26 °C under a moderating northwest flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating after several days of anomalous warmth. Persistent high pressure that drove temperatures above 30 °C earlier in the week is shifting eastward, allowing cooler maritime air to advect across the North Sea while surface winds strengthen to 15–20 km/h. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the 25–27 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–26 °C because these values align with the consensus maximum from the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C or higher only if unexpected clearing occurs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and KNMI updates for any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter peak readings by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$102,360結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from European models shows Amsterdam highs on June 28 likely peaking near 25–26 °C under a moderating northwest flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating after several days of anomalous warmth. Persistent high pressure that drove temperatures above 30 °C earlier in the week is shifting eastward, allowing cooler maritime air to advect across the North Sea while surface winds strengthen to 15–20 km/h. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the 25–27 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–26 °C because these values align with the consensus maximum from the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C or higher only if unexpected clearing occurs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and KNMI updates for any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter peak readings by a degree or two.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$102,360結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecast guidance from European models shows Amsterdam highs on June 28 likely peaking near 25–26 °C under a moderating northwest flow, with increased cloud cover and scattered drizzle limiting afternoon solar heating after several days of anomalous warmth. Persistent high pressure that drove temperatures above 30 °C earlier in the week is shifting eastward, allowing cooler maritime air to advect across the North Sea while surface winds strengthen to 15–20 km/h. Ensemble spreads remain narrow around the 25–27 °C range, reflecting modest uncertainty in exact cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing rather than large-scale pattern shifts. Market-implied odds cluster tightly on 25–26 °C because these values align with the consensus maximum from the latest deterministic and ensemble runs, with lower probabilities assigned to 27 °C or higher only if unexpected clearing occurs. Traders monitor the next model cycles and KNMI updates for any revisions to boundary-layer moisture or wind direction that could alter peak readings by a degree or two.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions