Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Ankara on June 28?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 28?
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$59,650 交易量
$59,650 交易量
2026-06-28
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.6%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$59,650 交易量
$59,650 交易量
2026-06-28
23°C or below
$1,733 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,446 交易量
<1%
25°C
$5,848 交易量
<1%
26°C
$6,253 交易量
<1%
27°C
$12,170 交易量
100%
28°C
$14,710 交易量
1%
29°C
$5,081 交易量
<1%
30°C
$4,345 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,936 交易量
<1%
32°C
$1,760 交易量
<1%
33°C or higher
$2,367 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$59,650結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$59,650結束日期
2026-06-28市場開放時間
Jun 26, 2026, 12:02 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles from ECMWF and GFS show Ankara's June 28 daily maximum clustered around 27–29°C, driving the market's leading 30.5% implied probability on 28°C. Key variables include the strength and position of the subtropical high, which favors clear skies and strong diurnal heating, versus potential weak northerly advection or scattered cloud development that could cap peaks near 26–27°C. Model spread arises from timing uncertainties in any passing shortwave trough and local urban heat-island effects. Historical June averages near 25–28°C provide baseline context, yet the broad probability distribution signals genuine forecast divergence ahead of updated runs expected within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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