Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on July 3?
Highest temperature in Austin on July 3?
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$37,956 交易量
$37,956 交易量
2026-07-03
89°F or below
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
100%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 100.0%
89°F or below <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$37,956 交易量
$37,956 交易量
2026-07-03
89°F or below
$3,322 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$2,104 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$4,303 交易量
<1%
94-95°F
$7,791 交易量
<1%
96-97°F
$4,607 交易量
100%
98-99°F
$3,924 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$1,589 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$1,822 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$4,308 交易量
<1%
106-107°F
$2,607 交易量
<1%
108°F or higher
$1,579 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$37,956結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$37,956結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETOfficial NWS and model guidance for Austin on July 3 favor a high near 97°F under mostly sunny skies amid persistent upper-level ridging and above-average warmth across central Texas. This supports the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 36% implied probability, with 94-95°F close behind due to minor forecast spread from variable low-level moisture or afternoon cumulus development that could shave 1-2°F off peak readings. Recent observations confirm the ongoing heat dome, consistent with climatological July averages near 96°F but elevated this week by southerly flow and limited cloud cover. Traders weigh the narrow window between bins against the next model runs and any late adjustments from steering patterns or boundary-layer mixing before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions