**Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a persistent heat wave across the Southeast, with Atlanta forecast to reach 97–98°F on July 3 amid high pressure and abundant low-level moisture.** Afternoon instability supports a 20–30% chance of thunderstorms, primarily after peak heating, creating uncertainty in whether convection develops early enough to cap temperatures or allows full insolation to push readings higher. Model consensus points to highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of any storms, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of the ridge. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–99°F ranges, as traders weigh official guidance against historical analogs for early-July heat in the region. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 3?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 3?
92-93°F 97.7%
94-95°F 1.8%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$55,726 交易量
$55,726 交易量
2026-07-03
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
98%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
92-93°F 97.7%
94-95°F 1.8%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$55,726 交易量
$55,726 交易量
2026-07-03
87°F or below
$1,065 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$2,008 交易量
<1%
90-91°F
$4,107 交易量
<1%
92-93°F
$10,802 交易量
98%
94-95°F
$6,567 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$7,779 交易量
1%
98-99°F
$8,856 交易量
<1%
100-101°F
$6,295 交易量
<1%
102-103°F
$3,664 交易量
<1%
104-105°F
$3,262 交易量
<1%
106°F or higher
$1,323 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a persistent heat wave across the Southeast, with Atlanta forecast to reach 97–98°F on July 3 amid high pressure and abundant low-level moisture.** Afternoon instability supports a 20–30% chance of thunderstorms, primarily after peak heating, creating uncertainty in whether convection develops early enough to cap temperatures or allows full insolation to push readings higher. Model consensus points to highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of any storms, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of the ridge. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–99°F ranges, as traders weigh official guidance against historical analogs for early-July heat in the region. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$55,726結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a persistent heat wave across the Southeast, with Atlanta forecast to reach 97–98°F on July 3 amid high pressure and abundant low-level moisture.** Afternoon instability supports a 20–30% chance of thunderstorms, primarily after peak heating, creating uncertainty in whether convection develops early enough to cap temperatures or allows full insolation to push readings higher. Model consensus points to highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of any storms, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of the ridge. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–99°F ranges, as traders weigh official guidance against historical analogs for early-July heat in the region. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$55,726結束日期
2026-07-03市場開放時間
Jul 1, 2026, 10:02 PM ET**Recent National Weather Service guidance highlights a persistent heat wave across the Southeast, with Atlanta forecast to reach 97–98°F on July 3 amid high pressure and abundant low-level moisture.** Afternoon instability supports a 20–30% chance of thunderstorms, primarily after peak heating, creating uncertainty in whether convection develops early enough to cap temperatures or allows full insolation to push readings higher. Model consensus points to highs in the mid-to-upper 90s, with the precise peak hinging on the timing of any storms, boundary-layer mixing, and exact steering of the ridge. These factors explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 94–99°F ranges, as traders weigh official guidance against historical analogs for early-July heat in the region. Updated short-range model runs and NWS briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the key data shifts for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions