National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Atlanta on July 4?
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 30%
98-99°F 17%
92-93°F 7%
$17,494 交易量
$17,494 交易量
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 36%
96-97°F 30%
98-99°F 17%
92-93°F 7%
$17,494 交易量
$17,494 交易量
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
36%
96-97°F
30%
98-99°F
17%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 2, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts project a high near 98°F for Atlanta on July 4 under sunny skies within a persistent heat dome, driving the market's leading 96-97°F bin at 40.5% implied probability. Recent model consensus and heat advisories through the holiday weekend reinforce upper-90s readings, though afternoon humidity, minor convective timing, or observational site specifics at official stations introduce narrow uncertainty that favors 94-97°F ranges over 98-99°F. Traders weigh climatological baselines—July averages around 90°F with records near 99°F—against stable short-term guidance showing minimal cooling trends.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions