Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Miami on July 5?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 5?
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
84-85°F 18%
74-75°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
32%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
18%
86-87°F
5%
88°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 32%
78-79°F 27%
84-85°F 18%
74-75°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-07-05
69°F or below
$5 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$182 交易量
2%
72-73°F
$142 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
14%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
27%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
32%
82-83°F
$5 交易量
6%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
18%
86-87°F
$181 交易量
5%
88°F or higher
$105 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$616結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$616結束日期
2026-07-05市場開放時間
Jul 3, 2026, 9:30 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami points to an overnight low near 80–81°F on July 5 amid a persistent summer pattern of high humidity, light southeast winds, and scattered thunderstorms. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling over the warm Atlantic waters, whose elevated sea-surface temperatures this season have raised the baseline minimum. Traders assign nearly equal weight to the 78–79°F and 80–81°F bands because small differences in cloud cover or timing of showers can shift the actual low by 1–2°F. Historical July climatology centers around 78–80°F at Miami International Airport, so outcomes above 82°F or below 76°F require notable forecast deviations that current model consensus does not support.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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