Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Lowest temperature in Miami on July 4?
Lowest temperature in Miami on July 4?
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 10.8%
78-79°F 8%
最新
$12,349 交易量
最新
$12,349 交易量
2026-07-04
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
18%
80-81°F
49%
82-83°F
20%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 35%
76-77°F 21%
82-83°F 10.8%
78-79°F 8%
最新
$12,349 交易量
最新
$12,349 交易量
2026-07-04
67°F or below
$555 交易量
<1%
68-69°F
$466 交易量
<1%
70-71°F
$926 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$377 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$689 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$248 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$995 交易量
18%
80-81°F
$5,857 交易量
49%
82-83°F
$462 交易量
20%
84-85°F
$816 交易量
1%
86°F or higher
$958 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
交易量
$12,349結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,349結束日期
2026-07-04市場開放時間
Jul 2, 2026, 9:30 PM ETTrader sentiment clusters tightly around 78–81°F for Miami’s July 4 overnight low because current model guidance and climatology place the minimum near the July average of 80°F amid persistent high humidity and weak steering flow. Abundant tropical moisture and scattered afternoon convection limit nocturnal radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the main uncertainty that separates the top two bins. A tropical disturbance approaching from the western Atlantic could enhance overnight cloudiness and nudge readings toward the lower 78–79°F range or briefly suppress them further if showers linger, yet steering patterns favor typical summer conditions without strong cooling mechanisms. National Weather Service updates on convection timing and boundary-layer moisture will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions