Current forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather places Austin highs in the 96–99°F range for late June under a building subtropical ridge, with southeasterly flow off the Gulf adding humidity that can cap afternoon peaks through scattered convection or haze. Model runs show minor spread in peak temperatures due to variable boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak disturbances, producing the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Historical June averages near 93–96°F and the absence of strong cold fronts or tropical moisture this week keep probabilities centered in this band, while any strengthening of the ridge or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 100°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日奧斯汀的最高溫度?
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 14%
華氏100-101度 5%
華氏91度或以下
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
14%
華氏100-101度
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
96-97°F 43%
94-95°F 34%
98-99°F 14%
華氏100-101度 5%
華氏91度或以下
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
34%
96-97°F
43%
98-99°F
14%
華氏100-101度
5%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
華氏110度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast guidance from sources like AccuWeather places Austin highs in the 96–99°F range for late June under a building subtropical ridge, with southeasterly flow off the Gulf adding humidity that can cap afternoon peaks through scattered convection or haze. Model runs show minor spread in peak temperatures due to variable boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak disturbances, producing the market’s tight clustering around 96–99°F outcomes. Historical June averages near 93–96°F and the absence of strong cold fronts or tropical moisture this week keep probabilities centered in this band, while any strengthening of the ridge or clearer skies could nudge readings toward 100°F.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions