Traders see 14°C and 15°C as nearly equally likely because ensemble forecasts place Buenos Aires’ June 26 maximum right at the long-term seasonal average, with only modest spread from expected southerly flow and limited moisture. Subtle differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and weak frontal timing can shift the peak by 1°C, keeping those two outcomes dominant. Official resolution will rely on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data, where urban heat-island effects and precise measurement timing add final uncertainty. New model runs overnight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before the market settles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月26日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$41,963 交易量
$41,963 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$41,963 交易量
$41,963 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 24, 2026, 9:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see 14°C and 15°C as nearly equally likely because ensemble forecasts place Buenos Aires’ June 26 maximum right at the long-term seasonal average, with only modest spread from expected southerly flow and limited moisture. Subtle differences in predicted low-level cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing depth, and weak frontal timing can shift the peak by 1°C, keeping those two outcomes dominant. Official resolution will rely on Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station data, where urban heat-island effects and precise measurement timing add final uncertainty. New model runs overnight and early-morning observations will be the next key inputs before the market settles.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions