Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 19?
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
29°C or below
2%
30°C
3%
31°C
11%
32°C
25%
33°C
33%
34°C
20%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 33%
32°C 25%
34°C 20%
31°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-06-19
29°C or below
$462 交易量
2%
30°C
$172 交易量
3%
31°C
$281 交易量
11%
32°C
$1,382 交易量
25%
33°C
$424 交易量
33%
34°C
$355 交易量
20%
35°C
$381 交易量
8%
36°C
$176 交易量
3%
37°C
$605 交易量
1%
38°C
$437 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$584 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ET
交易量
$5,259結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,259結束日期
2026-06-19市場開放時間
Jun 17, 2026, 12:43 AM ETCurrent numerical weather prediction ensembles indicate a peak temperature near 33°C in Chengdu on June 19, driven by a strengthening subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and daytime heating across the Sichuan Basin, tempered by increasing low-level moisture and scattered convective activity. Differentiation among the tightly clustered 32–34°C outcomes centers on forecast timing of thundershowers, which can reduce surface insolation and cap maxima, alongside variations in boundary-layer humidity and wind that modulate urban heat retention in the basin’s enclosed topography. Historical June averages hover near 29–30°C, with occasional spikes above 33°C when clear-sky periods align with the ridge; short-range model spread and potential shifts in precipitation timing sustain the balanced trader probabilities across these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions