Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Dallas maximum near 97–99°F on June 29, aligning trader emphasis on the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins. Late-June climatology at DFW features mean daily maxima around 95°F under typical high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, with modest spread arising from afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, weak convective inhibition, and minor model differences in low-level moisture. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and dry conditions have sustained upper-90s readings in recent days, while low probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-96°F outcomes reflect limited forecast divergence this close to the event and the narrow resolution thresholds at the official Dallas Love Field station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日達拉斯的最高溫度?
98-99°F 35%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 24%
94-95°F 10.3%
$11,681 交易量
$11,681 交易量
93°F or below
2%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
98-99°F 35%
96-97°F 26%
100-101°F 24%
94-95°F 10.3%
$11,681 交易量
$11,681 交易量
93°F or below
2%
94-95°F
10%
96-97°F
26%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
6%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 27, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model consensus point to a Dallas maximum near 97–99°F on June 29, aligning trader emphasis on the 98–99°F and 96–97°F bins. Late-June climatology at DFW features mean daily maxima around 95°F under typical high-pressure subsidence and southerly flow, with modest spread arising from afternoon boundary-layer mixing depth, weak convective inhibition, and minor model differences in low-level moisture. Above-normal seasonal temperatures and dry conditions have sustained upper-90s readings in recent days, while low probabilities for 100°F+ or sub-96°F outcomes reflect limited forecast divergence this close to the event and the narrow resolution thresholds at the official Dallas Love Field station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions