Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Denver on July 6, 2026, centers on a maximum temperature in the mid-90s°F, reflecting typical early-July diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and afternoon mixing. This aligns with the July climatological average high of 94°F and recent guidance showing 94–96°F, keeping the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins as the clear market leaders. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, potential weak convection, or slight variations in steering flow that could trim or enhance peak heating by 1–2°F. Historical analogs and ongoing summer warmth support limited downside risk below 92°F, while probabilities for 98°F+ remain low absent stronger high-pressure ridging or drier downslope winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model runs will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on July 6?
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 16.2%
92-93°F 3.5%
$17,878 交易量
$17,878 交易量
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 51%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 16.2%
92-93°F 3.5%
$17,878 交易量
$17,878 交易量
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
16%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and private model consensus for Denver on July 6, 2026, centers on a maximum temperature in the mid-90s°F, reflecting typical early-July diurnal heating under mostly sunny skies with light northeast winds and afternoon mixing. This aligns with the July climatological average high of 94°F and recent guidance showing 94–96°F, keeping the 96–97°F and 94–95°F bins as the clear market leaders. Minor model spread arises from uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, potential weak convection, or slight variations in steering flow that could trim or enhance peak heating by 1–2°F. Historical analogs and ongoing summer warmth support limited downside risk below 92°F, while probabilities for 98°F+ remain low absent stronger high-pressure ridging or drier downslope winds. Updated NWS forecast discussions and afternoon model runs will provide the next key signals ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions