Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月29日伊斯坦布爾的最高溫度?
29°C 45%
30°C 42%
28°C 9%
31°C 3.9%
$30,103 交易量
$30,103 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
45%
30°C
42%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 42%
28°C 9%
31°C 3.9%
$30,103 交易量
$30,103 交易量
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
9%
29°C
45%
30°C
42%
31°C
4%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 27, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the ECMWF and national meteorological services points to a peak temperature in Istanbul on June 29, 2026, most likely between 28°C and 29°C, reflecting typical late-June Mediterranean conditions with moderate southwesterly flow and sea-breeze moderation from the Bosphorus. Ensemble spreads show limited potential for 27°C under increased cloud cover or stronger onshore winds, while 30°C or higher would require clearer skies and enhanced warm advection. With resolution just 48 hours away, traders weigh the latest high-resolution runs against historical climatology, where daily maxima average near 27°C, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the modal outcomes amid normal forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions