Persistent summer conditions across the North China Plain, including subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon influences, underpin the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 19. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies project highs of 30–34°C, consistent with August climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing sustained heat with minimal cooling. High solar insolation, humidity, and urban heat effects reinforce this outlook. While forecast revisions or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, current model consensus and timing make such shifts highly improbable before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月19日濟南氣溫最高？
8月19日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 99.6%
18°C <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-19
16°C or below
$120 交易量
<1%
17°C
$120 交易量
<1%
18°C
$183 交易量
<1%
19°C
$125 交易量
<1%
20°C
$110 交易量
<1%
21°C
$110 交易量
<1%
22°C
$110 交易量
<1%
23°C
$110 交易量
<1%
24°C
$100 交易量
<1%
25°C
$55 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$851 交易量
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions across the North China Plain, including subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon influences, underpin the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 19. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies project highs of 30–34°C, consistent with August climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing sustained heat with minimal cooling. High solar insolation, humidity, and urban heat effects reinforce this outlook. While forecast revisions or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, current model consensus and timing make such shifts highly improbable before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$1,994結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer conditions across the North China Plain, including subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon influences, underpin the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 19. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies project highs of 30–34°C, consistent with August climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing sustained heat with minimal cooling. High solar insolation, humidity, and urban heat effects reinforce this outlook. While forecast revisions or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, current model consensus and timing make such shifts highly improbable before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,994結束日期
2026-08-19市場開放時間
Aug 18, 2026, 12:55 AM ETPersistent summer conditions across the North China Plain, including subtropical high pressure and East Asian monsoon influences, underpin the near-certain market-implied odds above 99% for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 19. Official forecasts from regional models and agencies project highs of 30–34°C, consistent with August climatological averages of 30–32°C and recent observations showing sustained heat with minimal cooling. High solar insolation, humidity, and urban heat effects reinforce this outlook. While forecast revisions or an unseasonal cold front could theoretically lower readings, current model consensus and timing make such shifts highly improbable before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions