Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於墨西哥城6月26日的最高溫度?
26°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,694 交易量
$44,694 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
26°C 100.0%
18°C或以下 <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$44,694 交易量
$44,694 交易量
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple agencies converge on a daily maximum of 23–25°C in Mexico City on June 26, with light showers or increasing cloud cover expected to develop by afternoon. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city’s high-altitude subtropical highland climate features strong diurnal heating followed by convective rainfall that frequently caps temperatures during the early rainy season. Model runs show modest uncertainty in the precise peak, driven by differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer moisture; clearer morning conditions favor the 25°C bin while earlier or heavier convection supports 23–24°C. Historical late-June averages near 24–25°C provide context, yet the current pattern of overnight lows near 12°C and modest north-easterly flow keeps extremes unlikely, leaving the tightly bunched market prices reflective of this narrow, forecast-dependent range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions