Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月14日米蘭的最高溫度？
7月14日米蘭的最高溫度？
34°C 48%
35°C 28%
33°C 25%
36°C 2.2%
最新
$18,356 交易量
最新
$18,356 交易量
2026-07-14
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
25%
34°C
48%
35°C
28%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 48%
35°C 28%
33°C 25%
36°C 2.2%
最新
$18,356 交易量
最新
$18,356 交易量
2026-07-14
29°C or below
$236 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,493 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,907 交易量
1%
32°C
$3,333 交易量
1%
33°C
$2,949 交易量
25%
34°C
$1,968 交易量
48%
35°C
$1,808 交易量
28%
36°C
$2,594 交易量
2%
37°C
$1,313 交易量
1%
38°C
$402 交易量
<1%
39°C or higher
$354 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$18,356結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$18,356結束日期
2026-07-14市場開放時間
Jul 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETForecast models from major agencies indicate a building high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley will drive Milan’s July 14 maximum into the mid-30s °C range, with ensemble guidance clustering near 34–35 °C after accounting for local urban heat-island effects and modest northerly flow. Subtle differences among runs hinge on the precise timing of ridge axis passage and boundary-layer mixing depth, which can shift peak readings by 1–2 °C. Recent satellite and radiosonde data show strengthening subsidence and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market’s tight split between 34 °C and 35 °C outcomes while keeping higher or lower brackets at low implied probability. Updated short-range guidance expected within 24 hours will further narrow the uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions