Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日莫斯科最高溫度？
7月12日莫斯科最高溫度？
21°C 23%
20°C 20%
22°C 19%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
15°C or below
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
10%
18°C
11%
19°C
16%
20°C
20%
21°C
23%
22°C
19%
23°C
15%
24°C
6%
25°C或以上
3%
21°C 23%
20°C 20%
22°C 19%
19°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
15°C or below
$32 交易量
2%
16°C
$32 交易量
3%
17°C
$22 交易量
10%
18°C
$5 交易量
11%
19°C
$0 交易量
16%
20°C
$0 交易量
20%
21°C
$13 交易量
23%
22°C
$5 交易量
19%
23°C
$0 交易量
15%
24°C
$4 交易量
6%
25°C或以上
$61 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$175結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$175結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate Moscow's July 12 high will likely settle near 20–22°C amid widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and possible thunderstorms, suppressing daytime heating below the early-July climatological average of 23–24°C. Multiple models show a passing frontal system or increased mid-level moisture limiting solar insolation and promoting evaporative cooling, with ensemble spreads reflecting uncertainty in exact timing and intensity of precipitation. This pattern aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustered around 19–22°C, where small shifts in cloud duration or clearing could push the peak into adjacent bins. Official updates from agencies like Roshydromet and global numerical weather prediction runs will refine resolution thresholds over the next 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions