Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
7月12日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度？
27°C 34%
28°C 32%
26°C 16%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
6%
26°C
16%
27°C
34%
28°C
32%
29°C
6%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
27°C 34%
28°C 32%
26°C 16%
25°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
23°C或以下
$27 交易量
1%
24°C
$301 交易量
4%
25°C
$400 交易量
6%
26°C
$541 交易量
16%
27°C
$206 交易量
34%
28°C
$406 交易量
32%
29°C
$158 交易量
6%
30°C
$182 交易量
4%
31°C
$325 交易量
1%
32°C
$355 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$150 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$3,051結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,051結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETCurrent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) ensemble guidance positions Amsterdam’s July 12 maximum near 26–27 °C, reflecting a modest warming trend under light westerly flow, limited cloud cover, and typical North Sea boundary-layer conditions. Model spread at the two-day horizon remains roughly ±2 °C, driven by small uncertainties in Atlantic trough placement and diurnal heating rates. This distribution aligns with the market’s near-even split between the 26 °C and 27 °C contracts, while lower-probability tails capture scenarios of increased marine stratus or stronger onshore flow that could cap highs at 24–25 °C or allow brief clearing to 28–29 °C. Updated model runs and official KNMI observations on July 11–12 will provide the decisive data ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions