Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日阿姆斯特丹的最高溫度?
27°C 39%
26°C 30%
28°C 18.8%
25°C 13.0%
$28,975 交易量
$28,975 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
30%
27°C
39%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 30%
28°C 18.8%
25°C 13.0%
$28,975 交易量
$28,975 交易量
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
13%
26°C
30%
27°C
39%
28°C
19%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current ensemble forecasts from centers including ECMWF and KNMI show a probable daily maximum of 25–27 °C in Amsterdam on July 10 amid building high pressure and light southerly flow that favors modest warming above seasonal norms of 21–22 °C. Trader-implied odds cluster tightly around these outcomes because short-range models diverge mainly on afternoon cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and the precise strength of the urban heat-island effect, with limited precipitation expected to suppress extremes. Updated model runs and KNMI guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact peak and shift probabilities accordingly before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions