Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Sao Paulo under stable winter high pressure on July 9, supporting afternoon highs of 22–24 °C at official stations such as Guarulhos, consistent with the market’s tight 35.5 % clustering on 23 °C and 24 °C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, surface insolation under mostly clear skies, and any late-day thin stratiform cloud that could suppress the peak by 1 °C. With July climatology centering near 22 °C and no strong cold fronts expected, small revisions in model soundings or observed wind shifts will determine whether the maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range. Updated runs ahead of the evening observation window remain the next market-moving inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月9日聖保羅的最高溫度?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,628 交易量
$82,628 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$82,628 交易量
$82,628 交易量
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 7, 2026, 10:01 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest numerical weather prediction models from major centers show Sao Paulo under stable winter high pressure on July 9, supporting afternoon highs of 22–24 °C at official stations such as Guarulhos, consistent with the market’s tight 35.5 % clustering on 23 °C and 24 °C. Key differentiating factors include boundary-layer mixing depth, surface insolation under mostly clear skies, and any late-day thin stratiform cloud that could suppress the peak by 1 °C. With July climatology centering near 22 °C and no strong cold fronts expected, small revisions in model soundings or observed wind shifts will determine whether the maximum settles at the lower or upper end of the favored range. Updated runs ahead of the evening observation window remain the next market-moving inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions