National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor a Miami high in the low-to-mid 90s on July 11 under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow and high humidity. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence often triggers scattered convection that limits peak solar heating, keeping official readings near 90–93 °F and aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (43.5 %) and 90–91 °F (31.5 %) brackets. Saharan dust plumes noted in recent marine forecasts may further suppress storm activity and allow slightly warmer readings, while any earlier or stronger outflow boundaries could cap temperatures in the upper 80s. Updated short-range model runs and the 7 a.m. EDT NWS forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日邁阿密的最高溫度?
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 11.8%
88-89°F 5%
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
92-93°F 52%
90-91°F 32%
94-95°F 11.8%
88-89°F 5%
81°F或以下
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
32%
92-93°F
52%
94-95°F
12%
96-97°F
1%
98-99°F
<1%
華氏100度或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jul 9, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models currently favor a Miami high in the low-to-mid 90s on July 11 under a subtropical ridge with light easterly flow and high humidity. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence often triggers scattered convection that limits peak solar heating, keeping official readings near 90–93 °F and aligning with the market’s leading 92–93 °F (43.5 %) and 90–91 °F (31.5 %) brackets. Saharan dust plumes noted in recent marine forecasts may further suppress storm activity and allow slightly warmer readings, while any earlier or stronger outflow boundaries could cap temperatures in the upper 80s. Updated short-range model runs and the 7 a.m. EDT NWS forecast discussion tomorrow will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions