Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日北京最高溫度？
7月12日北京最高溫度？
30°C 27%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
27°C or below
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
20%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
15%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
30°C 27%
31°C 21%
29°C 20%
32°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
27°C or below
$268 交易量
9%
28°C
$103 交易量
8%
29°C
$16 交易量
20%
30°C
$38 交易量
27%
31°C
$21 交易量
21%
32°C
$20 交易量
15%
33°C
$101 交易量
5%
34°C
$201 交易量
1%
35°C
$225 交易量
1%
36°C
$175 交易量
1%
37°C or higher
$285 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,447結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,447結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent forecasts from models like those aggregated by AccuWeather and regional sources indicate Beijing's July 12 maximum will likely fall near 30–32°C, driven by typical mid-summer monsoon moisture, scattered thunderstorms, and variable cloud cover that limits surface heating. Official outlooks show highs around 30.6–32°C on that date amid 60–80% precipitation chances, which cap daytime peaks by reducing insolation compared to clearer conditions. These factors explain the tight market clustering around 29–31°C, with slight edges to 30°C reflecting ensemble consensus on modest warming from current 32°C readings offset by rain-cooled air masses. Historical July averages near 31°C provide context, yet short-term model runs through July 11–12 emphasize uncertainty in exact convective timing and intensity that could shift the daily high by 1–2°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions