**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月10日首爾最高溫度？
7月10日首爾最高溫度？
28°C 56%
29°C 22%
27°C 15%
30°C 3.0%
最新
$72,041 交易量
最新
$72,041 交易量
2026-07-10
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
15%
28°C
56%
29°C
22%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
1%
28°C 56%
29°C 22%
27°C 15%
30°C 3.0%
最新
$72,041 交易量
最新
$72,041 交易量
2026-07-10
21°C or below
$2,291 交易量
<1%
22°C
$2,132 交易量
<1%
23°C
$4,194 交易量
<1%
24°C
$3,051 交易量
<1%
25°C
$4,031 交易量
<1%
26°C
$16,025 交易量
<1%
27°C
$11,100 交易量
15%
28°C
$8,254 交易量
56%
29°C
$7,146 交易量
22%
30°C
$6,781 交易量
3%
31°C or higher
$7,070 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$72,041結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72,041結束日期
2026-07-10市場開放時間
Jul 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Seoul's July 10 maximum temperature remains closely divided among 27–30°C outcomes because short-range numerical weather models show modest spread amid ongoing East Asian monsoon (Jangma) conditions.** Persistent high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered thunderstorms—already evident in early July patterns—can suppress peak heating by limiting insolation or enhance it during brief clear intervals, with the precise timing and intensity of rain bands determining whether the daily high reaches the upper or lower end of the 26–31°C envelope. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and ensemble forecasts highlight typical July variability around 28–30°C baselines, while Seoul’s urban heat island adds a small upward bias. The balanced probabilities mirror genuine forecast uncertainty two days out, with model updates and any revised precipitation timing expected to drive further market adjustments before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions