Current ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models place Seoul’s July 11 daytime high near 30–32 °C under lingering East Asian monsoon conditions. Moisture-laden southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers introduce a roughly two-degree spread across runs, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around the 30 °C (20 %), 31 °C (24.5 %), and 32 °C (24 %) bins. A stronger ridge building from the Yellow Sea could push readings toward 33 °C or higher, while an approaching trough or heavier precipitation would favor the lower 29–30 °C outcomes. Historical early-July maxima cluster between 25–30 °C, providing climatological context but little resolution for the specific synoptic setup two days out. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月11日首爾最高溫度？
7月11日首爾最高溫度？
31°C 38%
30°C 28%
32°C 20%
29°C 8%
最新
$14,333 交易量
最新
$14,333 交易量
2026-07-11
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
38%
32°C
20%
33°C or higher
4%
31°C 38%
30°C 28%
32°C 20%
29°C 8%
最新
$14,333 交易量
最新
$14,333 交易量
2026-07-11
23°C or below
$458 交易量
<1%
24°C
$277 交易量
<1%
25°C
$311 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,626 交易量
1%
27°C
$1,766 交易量
1%
28°C
$1,333 交易量
5%
29°C
$2,171 交易量
8%
30°C
$636 交易量
28%
31°C
$847 交易量
38%
32°C
$1,848 交易量
20%
33°C or higher
$3,058 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models place Seoul’s July 11 daytime high near 30–32 °C under lingering East Asian monsoon conditions. Moisture-laden southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers introduce a roughly two-degree spread across runs, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around the 30 °C (20 %), 31 °C (24.5 %), and 32 °C (24 %) bins. A stronger ridge building from the Yellow Sea could push readings toward 33 °C or higher, while an approaching trough or heavier precipitation would favor the lower 29–30 °C outcomes. Historical early-July maxima cluster between 25–30 °C, providing climatological context but little resolution for the specific synoptic setup two days out. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$14,333結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models place Seoul’s July 11 daytime high near 30–32 °C under lingering East Asian monsoon conditions. Moisture-laden southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers introduce a roughly two-degree spread across runs, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around the 30 °C (20 %), 31 °C (24.5 %), and 32 °C (24 %) bins. A stronger ridge building from the Yellow Sea could push readings toward 33 °C or higher, while an approaching trough or heavier precipitation would favor the lower 29–30 °C outcomes. Historical early-July maxima cluster between 25–30 °C, providing climatological context but little resolution for the specific synoptic setup two days out. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$14,333結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 12:02 AM ETCurrent ensemble forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global models place Seoul’s July 11 daytime high near 30–32 °C under lingering East Asian monsoon conditions. Moisture-laden southwesterly flow, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers introduce a roughly two-degree spread across runs, keeping trader probabilities tightly clustered around the 30 °C (20 %), 31 °C (24.5 %), and 32 °C (24 %) bins. A stronger ridge building from the Yellow Sea could push readings toward 33 °C or higher, while an approaching trough or heavier precipitation would favor the lower 29–30 °C outcomes. Historical early-July maxima cluster between 25–30 °C, providing climatological context but little resolution for the specific synoptic setup two days out. Updated KMA guidance and next model cycles remain the key near-term catalysts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions