Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於洛杉磯7月11日的最高溫度？
洛杉磯7月11日的最高溫度？
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 30%
78-79°F 9.3%
72-73°F 4.4%
最新
$15,463 交易量
最新
$15,463 交易量
2026-07-11
69°F或以下
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
30%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F或更高
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 30%
78-79°F 9.3%
72-73°F 4.4%
最新
$15,463 交易量
最新
$15,463 交易量
2026-07-11
69°F或以下
$166 交易量
1%
70-71°F
$473 交易量
1%
72-73°F
$1,981 交易量
4%
74-75°F
$7,520 交易量
45%
76-77°F
$1,710 交易量
30%
78-79°F
$111 交易量
9%
80-81°F
$329 交易量
2%
82-83°F
$160 交易量
2%
84-85°F
$2,120 交易量
<1%
86-87°F
$422 交易量
<1%
88°F或更高
$490 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$15,463結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Marine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$15,463結束日期
2026-07-11市場開放時間
Jul 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETMarine layer strength and onshore flow remain the dominant drivers for Los Angeles maximum temperatures on July 11, with National Weather Service guidance indicating a moderate inversion that typically caps coastal and downtown readings in the mid-70s. Recent model consensus favors highs near 75–77°F at key reporting stations, aligning with the market’s near-even split between the 74–75°F (30.5%) and 76–77°F (32.5%) brackets. Subtle variations in low-level moisture, wind direction, and marine layer depth introduce the primary uncertainty, as a slightly stronger or more persistent layer could suppress readings by 1–2°F while a modest weakening would allow marginal warming. Historical early-July climatology for the region shows similar marine-influenced conditions producing daily maxima clustered around 74–78°F absent strong offshore flow or ridging. Updated NWS morning forecasts and afternoon observations will provide the final resolution inputs.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions