Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月12日青島氣溫最高？
7月12日青島氣溫最高？
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
31°C 21%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
8%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
25%
30°C
29%
31°C
21%
32°C
10%
33°C
9%
34°C或以上
<1%
30°C 29%
29°C 25%
31°C 21%
32°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-07-12
24°C或以下
$909 交易量
<1%
25°C
$148 交易量
<1%
26°C
$27 交易量
8%
27°C
$32 交易量
4%
28°C
$116 交易量
8%
29°C
$290 交易量
25%
30°C
$170 交易量
29%
31°C
$185 交易量
21%
32°C
$41 交易量
10%
33°C
$31 交易量
9%
34°C或以上
$87 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$2,035結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,035結束日期
2026-07-12市場開放時間
Jul 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETLatest global and regional model runs, including ECMWF and CMA guidance, point to a highest temperature near 30–31°C in coastal Qingdao on July 12, where typical July highs average 28°C under the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea. An approaching weather pattern, potentially linked to Typhoon Bavi’s remnants farther south, is introducing uncertainty around cloud cover, wind shifts, and any sea-breeze strengthening that could cap afternoon peaks. Ensemble spreads remain broad because small differences in timing of moisture or onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Traders are weighting recent model consensus and historical analogs for early-July coastal regimes while awaiting updated 12–48-hour forecasts from official agencies before the market resolves.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions